Overview
Across Christian history, people have associated particular dates with the second coming of Jesus, Armageddon, the Antichrist, a period of tribulation or the Rapture. Jewish, Islamic, esoteric and secular predictions have also appeared in public discussion.
The broader archive records many predictions assigned to dates before 2010. None occurred as forecast. This page examines claims associated with 2010 through 2014 from the perspective available after those dates had passed.
The purpose of preserving this record is not to create alarm. On the contrary, comparing confident claims with their outcomes can reduce fear and encourage readers to examine evidence, interpretation and uncertainty carefully.
Predictions and outcomes
A forecast of intensifying biblical events
In 2005, Roderick C. Meredith of the Living Church of God wrote that events he understood as biblical prophecy would intensify within roughly five to fifteen years. The period ended without the world-ending outcome described by later interpretations of that message.
A deadly 2005 attack at a Wisconsin church was sometimes discussed alongside local religious tensions. No clear basis establishes that the magazine statement caused that event, and the two should not be treated as a proven causal sequence.
Harold Camping's Rapture date
Family Radio leader Harold Camping taught that his reading of the Bible identified 21 May 2011 as the date of the Rapture. The date passed without the predicted event. Camping had previously assigned significance to a date in September 1994. See the archived overview of his predictions.
A reported Feast of Trumpets forecast
Camping was also reported as associating the end with the Feast of Trumpets in September 2011. This date likewise passed without the forecast event. Reporting from the period is not always consistent about how this date related to his better-known May and October claims.
A chapter-and-verse calculation
A reader proposed that Luke 21:11 encoded the 21st century and its eleventh year. That method depends on numbering added long after the biblical texts were composed: chapter divisions became common in the medieval period, while New Testament verse numbers were introduced centuries later. Their editorial origin makes them an unsuitable basis for a hidden ancient date. The abbreviation CE is explained elsewhere in the collection.
A sequence of economic, military and natural-disaster claims
An email received by the archive presented a religious identity claim and forecast a chain of events beginning with economic collapse. It then assigned dates to attacks, nuclear conflict, a volcanic eruption and an asteroid impact. None of the scheduled events occurred as described.
A revised end date
After 21 May passed, Camping's movement focused on 21 October 2011 as the date of final destruction. Promotional material expressed complete confidence in the calculation. The date passed without the predicted end of the world.
Numerology and a repeated date
A correspondent attached significance to the repeated ones in 11/11/11. Such reasoning depends on the notation and starting point of a particular calendar. Because calendar systems and date formats are human conventions, a striking numerical pattern is not independent evidence of a global event.
A personal visionary report
Another correspondent described a visionary experience that they interpreted as a warning of widespread social collapse and illness on this date. The forecast did not occur. A private experience may be personally meaningful, but by itself it does not provide a publicly verifiable prediction.
The 2012 cluster
Many unrelated forecasts converged on the December solstice in 2012, often through misunderstandings of Mesoamerican calendars or combinations of modern spiritual ideas. The date passed normally. These claims are covered in a separate 2012 essay.
An emailed Revelation chronology
A widely circulated 2006 message forecast that several events drawn from the Book of Revelation would occur before 2019. Its outline included the Two Witnesses, the 144,000, an enforced mark, conflict involving Satan and nuclear war. The period ended without this sequence occurring as forecast.
Two claims assigned to 2014
A magazine attributed a five-hundred-year forecast to Pope Leo X, which would have placed the end in 2014. The archive did not verify the statement in a primary source.
Separately, Isaiah Robertson predicted that the second coming would occur at Niagara Falls, interpreting the location and a cross in his home as divine signs. The reported event did not occur in 2014.
What this record shows
Failed predictions do not settle broader theological questions about eschatology. They do show the risks of assigning exact dates through private revelation, selective arithmetic, symbolic readings or later editorial features of scripture.
Readers evaluating a new prediction can ask whether the original statement is available, whether its date is precise, whether it was altered after the fact and what evidence could demonstrate that the claim was wrong. Those questions help distinguish historical documentation from promotion or panic.